Policies
Chiara Dal Bianco, Francesco Maura, Francesca Parodi, Guglielmo Weber
We document that underestimation of subjective survival probabilities negatively affects investments in risky assets in the UK context. We then explore the role of cognitive skills in explaining this negative relationship. More precisely, we disentangle a direct effect of cognitive skills on investments in risky assets through entry costs and an indirect effect through survival probability underestimation. We calibrate a life-cycle model to quantify the importance of survival probability underestimation on suboptimal ownership of risky assets. We use the model to evaluate the potential effects of policy interventions aimed at increasing financial literacy. These policy interventions affect the decision to own risky assets by reducing entry costs, but also by reducing survival risk underestimation.